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[illus. 1] The Pinatubo particles cooled the Earth more or less exactly in line with the figures that MacCracken had offered at the meeting for the effects of 'artificial volcanoes'-- any technology for injecting sulphur high into the atmosphere. Had there not been a simultaneous El NiƱo, 1992 would have been 0.7 degrees cooler, worldwide, than 1991. And this demonstration of cooling power took place at a crucial time. The first report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) warning of greenhouse warming came out the year before Pinatubo; the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change was opened to signatures while its aerosols were still enlivening the skies. In a world awakening to the prospect of global warming, you might have expected such an object lesson in global cooling to sharpen the debate over artificial volcanoes of the sort that MacCracken had reviewed.
But things went the other way. Once global warming started to be seen as real and important, climate scientists shied away from such speculation, preferring to hammer home the message that greenhouse-gas emissions had to be cut quickly and deeply. 'Geoengineering' the climate through artificial modifications was seen as a dangerous distraction from the business of slashing emissions. In the decade and a half that followed Pinatubo, talk of geoengineering went into eclipse. From 1995 to 2005, more research went into technological responses to asteroids that might one day endanger the Earth than into direct responses against the sunlight already heating the planet. 153554b96e
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